Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Taylor Townsend		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.2	1.65
	2.12	1.69
	2.2	1.67
	2.13	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.91)	1.66 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Townsend
42.9%

Varvara Gracheva
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Townsend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taylor Townsend's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Taylor Townsend - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: Varvara Gracheva will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varvara Gracheva will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Townsend is ranked WTA: 116. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 60.

In recent matches, Gracheva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Townsend won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Gracheva - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Townsend
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Hailey Baptiste - Taylor Townsend	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Taylor Townsend - Storm Hunter	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Taylor Townsend - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Taylor Townsend - Nao Hibino	2:1 ✺
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Dalma Galfi - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Dubai
17.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Priscilla Hon - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
28.08.23	Varvara Gracheva - Taylor Townsend	0:2

Taylor Townsend - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide