Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Varvara Gracheva		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.74	2.2
	1.22	4.10	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.68	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)	2.4 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
59.3%

Rebecca Sramkova
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Gracheva's performance.

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Sramkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Varvara Gracheva - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sramkova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sramkova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sramkova (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 73. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 82.

Gracheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sramkova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Priscilla Hon - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Linda Noskova - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Laura Siegemund - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Antonia Ruzic	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
06.02.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
WTA Ostrava
04.02.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hobart
12.01.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Varvara Gracheva	2:1
WTA Eastbourne
25.06.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Varvara Gracheva	0:2

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