Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Varvara Gracheva		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.43
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.36)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
32.9%

Maria Sakkari
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.

Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Sakkari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Sakkari will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakkari: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Gracheva (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Gracheva (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maria Sakkari will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 3 - 50%). Sakkari (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 73. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 52.

Gracheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sakkari has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakkari will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Linda Noskova - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Laura Siegemund - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
22.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWL
- Maria Sakkari
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
27.05.24	Maria Sakkari - Varvara Gracheva	1:2
WTA Roma
10.05.24	Maria Sakkari - Varvara Gracheva	2:0
WTA Linz
08.02.23	Maria Sakkari - Varvara Gracheva	2:0

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