Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Thanapet Chanta		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
			Watch
	2.02	1.81
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.19	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thanapet Chanta
45.9%

Chase Ferguson
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanapet Chanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanapet Chanta than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Thanapet Chanta - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chanta is ranked ATP: 800. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 670.

Recent performances by Chanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferguson has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Thanapet Chanta - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanapet Chanta
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Filip Peliwo - Thanapet Chanta	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Thanapet Chanta - Koki Matsuda	Chanta T. retired ✺
03.03.26	Thanapet Chanta - Ivan Iutkin	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Thanapet Chanta - Vishnu Vardhan	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Max Houkes - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 L?WLL
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Chase Ferguson - Rigele Te	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Chase Ferguson - Arthur Weber	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Chase Ferguson - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Kokoro Isomura - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Thanapet Chanta - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide