Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Thanasi Kokkinakis		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.8	1.41
	2.75	1.44
	2.72	1.47	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.2)	1.44 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis
34.4%

Valentin Vacherot
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanasi Kokkinakis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thanasi Kokkinakis's form might have worsened.

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Vacherot's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	0%	73.9%

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kokkinakis will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Vacherot will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Vacherot will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kokkinakis is ranked ATP: 450. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 31.

Vacherot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vacherot is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.07%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Jack Draper - Thanasi Kokkinakis	3:2 ✺
13.01.25	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Roman Safiullin	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
09.01.25	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. walkover ✺
08.01.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLW?W
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Valentin Vacherot - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

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