Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Theo Papamalamis		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.48
	1.88	1.86	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Theo Papamalamis
58.1%

Moerani Bouzige
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Theo Papamalamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Theo Papamalamis's performance.

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moerani Bouzige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Theo Papamalamis than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Theo Papamalamis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moerani Bouzige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Theo Papamalamis - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Papamalamis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bouzige will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouzige: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bouzige (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Papamalamis is ranked ATP: 601. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 333.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Papamalamis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Moerani Bouzige - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Theo Papamalamis
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Theo Papamalamis - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Theo Papamalamis - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Theo Papamalamis - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Theo Papamalamis - Markus Molder	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Lui Maxted - Theo Papamalamis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Tsung-Hao Huang	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLL?L

Theo Papamalamis - Moerani Bouzige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide