Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.34	1.62
	2.01	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.59	Watch
	1.71	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.62)	1.68 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
43.9%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 101. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 228.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tirante won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	Canceled ✺
16.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Andres Andrade - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 W?LW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2
ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Diaz Acosta F. retired
ATP Cordoba
04.02.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Canceled

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide