Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	2.23 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
58.1%

Matej Dodig
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matej Dodig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 97. Dodig is ranked ATP: 275.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tirante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tirante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
28.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Frazier Rengifo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Matej Dodig - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Matej Dodig - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Matej Dodig - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Thiago Monteiro - Matej Dodig	Canceled ✺
24.09.24	Sandro Kopp - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWL?W

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