Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA CRUZ (BOLIVIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 September 2023, Thursday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.35
	1.63	2.33
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)	2.31 ↓ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
59.5%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tirante is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pucinelli De Almeida is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tirante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tirante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Dutra da Silva	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
24.08.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 ?LWWL
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Zormann	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
02.08.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Stefano Travaglia - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.08.21	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2
ITF Tournaments
01.07.21	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0

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