Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	ESPN
Belgium	01:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:00	HBO Max
Brazil	21:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:00	HBO Max
Canada	19:00	RDS App
Colombia	19:00	ESPN
Croatia	01:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:00	HBO Max
Denmark	01:00	HBO Max
Finland	02:00	HBO Max
France	01:00	HBO Max
Hungary	01:00	HBO Max
Mexico	18:00	ESPN
Moldova	02:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:00	HBO Max
Morocco	01:00	2M National
Netherlands	01:00	HBO Max
New Zealand	13:00	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	01:00	HBO Max
Norway	01:00	HBO Max
Peru	19:00	ESPN
Poland	01:00	HBO Max
Romania	02:00	HBO Max
Serbia	01:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:00	HBO Max
Spain	01:00	HBO Max
Sweden	01:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:00	Discovery+
Usa	19:00	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:00	ESPN


	Tommy Paul		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.07	8.8	Watch
	1.08	7.95	Watch
	1.08	7.5	Watch
	1.07	8.98	Watch
	1.08	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.07)	8.37 ↓ (8.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
88.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
11.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

89.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tommy Paul - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tirante will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7 Games - Tirante (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 20. Tirante is ranked ATP: 103.

Recent performances by Paul have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Jesper De Jong - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
01.11.25	Henry Bernet - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Tommy Paul - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	✺
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Zachary Svajda	✺

Tommy Paul - Thiago Augustin Tirante