Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Rafael Jodar

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Thiago Augustin Tirante
32.5%

Rafael Jodar
67.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tirante is ranked ATP: 54., and Jodar is ranked ATP: 13..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Jodar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Jodar for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Yanki Erel	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Adrian Mannarino	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WL?WL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled ✺
25.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Christian Garin - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 L?W?W

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Rafael Jodar