Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Thiago Cigarran		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.52
	2.5	1.5
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.69)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Cigarran
38.9%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Cigarran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Cigarran than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Cigarran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thiago Cigarran - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cigarran is ranked ATP: 842. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 609.

Recent performances by Cigarran have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aguilar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Cigarran
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Thiago Cigarran - Pierre Delage	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Valerio Aboian - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Thiago Cigarran - Breno Braga	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Nicolas Barrientos - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Thiago Cigarran - Federico Zeballos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Tomas Martinez	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ignacio Carou	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Thiago Cigarran - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide