Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion (Paraguay), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Thiago Monteiro		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.47	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	2.55 ↓ (3.01)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
63.4%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Thiago Monteiro - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 99. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 257.

Monteiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guillen Meza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Monteiro is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mariano Kestelboim	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW

Thiago Monteiro - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide