Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordoba 2 (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.09	1.38
	3.08	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.45)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
31.6%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Guillen Meza's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 276. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 123.

Guillen Meza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cerundolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guillen Meza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Renzo Olivo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Hernan Casanova - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Justo G. I. retired ✺
19.02.25	Tomas Farjat - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWW?W
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Jaime Faria - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0
18.07.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2
22.06.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1

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