Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.84
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)	2.78 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
66.3%

Lautaro Midon
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Thiago Monteiro - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Midon will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 105. Midon is ranked ATP: 354.

Recent matches Monteiro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Midon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Monteiro is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.03.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

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