Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.96	1.94
	1.89	1.9	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
49.9%

Thiago Monteiro
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	0%	11.6%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.16% – 99.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 108.

Ugo Carabelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monteiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Thiago Monteiro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.03.24	Thiago Monteiro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2
17.11.23	Thiago Monteiro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
08.10.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro	1:2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide