Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAMPINAS (BRAZIL), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Thiago Monteiro		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.62
	2.2	1.72
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.92)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
44%

Luciano Darderi
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Thiago Monteiro - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Monteiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Darderi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monteiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Hugo Dellien - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Gustavo Heide - Thiago Monteiro	Heide G. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	August Holmgren - Thiago Monteiro	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WW??W
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
05.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Tristan Boyer - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Luciano Darderi - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0

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