Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Concepcion 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Thiago Monteiro		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	2.13	1.77
	1.97	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.62)	1.69 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
45%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Diaz Acosta (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 196. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 247.

Diaz Acosta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Louis Dussin	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	Diaz Acosta F. retired
05.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1
06.11.18	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	0:2

Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide