Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Thiago Seyboth Wild		Matej Dodig

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.80	1.97	Watch
	1.77	2.16
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.75	1.97
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)	1.97 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild
52.6%

Matej Dodig
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Dodig will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seyboth Wild: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 198. Dodig is ranked ATP: 254.

Seyboth Wild is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Dodig has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seyboth Wild may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Seyboth Wild will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Seyboth Wild T. Retired ✺
02.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWW?W
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Matej Dodig - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hugo Dellien - Matej Dodig	Dellien H. Retired ✺
08.09.26	Franco Agamenone - Matej Dodig	Agamenone F. Retired ✺
06.09.26	Matej Dodig - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Johan Nikles - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W??WW

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