Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday


	Stefano Travaglia		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	1.86	1.65
			Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.83)	1.63 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
43.6%

Giovanni Fonio
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Travaglia's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Stefano Travaglia - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: Giovanni Fonio will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giovanni Fonio will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 312. Fonio is ranked ATP: 378.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fonio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Alessandro Dragoni	Canceled ✺
24.06.25	Mili Poljicak - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 W?LLL
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Giovanni Fonio - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Tom Gentzsch - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Gianluca Mager - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Giovanni Fonio - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL

Stefano Travaglia - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide