Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Thijs Boogaard		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.32	1.34
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	3.33	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.64)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thijs Boogaard
29.4%

Hugo Grenier
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thijs Boogaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thijs Boogaard's form might have worsened.

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Grenier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Thijs Boogaard - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Grenier (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boogaard is ranked ATP: 1052. Grenier is ranked ATP: 189.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Grenier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grenier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thijs Boogaard
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Thijs Boogaard	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thijs Boogaard	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Thijs Boogaard	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Thijs Boogaard - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Max Wiskandt - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 W?LWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Hugo Grenier - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Hugo Grenier - Lloyd Harris	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWL?

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