Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vale do Lobo 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Alberto Barroso Campos

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.86
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.39	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	2.79 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
66.8%

Alberto Barroso Campos
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Pereira's performance.

Alberto Barroso Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alberto Barroso Campos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alberto Barroso Campos than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alberto Barroso Campos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tiago Pereira - Alberto Barroso Campos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 278. Barroso Campos is ranked ATP: 602.

Pereira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barroso Campos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barroso Campos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pereira might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
09.11.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Alberto Barroso Campos
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Denis Yevseyev - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Max Basing - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Jozef Kovalik	Kovalik J. retired ✺
05.10.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Peter Fajta	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Alberto Barroso Campos - Tiago Pereira	2:0
09.08.23	Tiago Pereira - Alberto Barroso Campos	0:2

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