Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 6 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Alberto Barroso Campos		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.64
	3.82	1.24	Watch
	2.24	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (1.87)	1.52 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alberto Barroso Campos
36.5%

Jozef Kovalik
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alberto Barroso Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alberto Barroso Campos's form might have worsened.

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alberto Barroso Campos than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alberto Barroso Campos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alberto Barroso Campos - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barroso Campos is ranked ATP: 616. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 520.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kovalik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alberto Barroso Campos - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Jozef Kovalik - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alberto Barroso Campos
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Peter Fajta	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Alberto Barroso Campos	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Sebastian Sorger - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Jozef Kovalik - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Jozef Kovalik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW

Alberto Barroso Campos - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide