Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Cezar Cretu

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.24	1.64
	2.19	1.59	Watch
	2.15	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.87)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
42.6%

Cezar Cretu
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Cezar Cretu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cezar Cretu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cezar Cretu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiago Pereira - Cezar Cretu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 281. Cretu is ranked ATP: 427.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Cezar Cretu - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Tiago Pereira - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Tiago Pereira - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Tiago Pereira - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWL
- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Cezar Cretu - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Johannes Ingildsen - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Orlando Luz - Cezar Cretu	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Cezar Cretu - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WL?LW

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