Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Elmer Moller		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
	1.33	3.05
	1.33	3.02	Watch
	1.31	2.95
	1.32	3.09
	1.32	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	3.02 (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
69.6%

Tiago Pereira
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 181., and Pereira is ranked ATP: 339..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Pereira may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Moller is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Moller has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Zsombor Piros - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Thiago Monteiro - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Carlos Taberner - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Elmer Moller - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Elmer Moller - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Tiago Pereira - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Tiago Pereira - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Tiago Pereira - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavlo Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Elmer Moller	1:2
22.09.25	Elmer Moller - Tiago Pereira	0:2

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