Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Mili Poljicak		Cezar Cretu

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.81	1.89
	1.95	1.91
	1.66	2.15	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.02)	1.92 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
51.3%

Cezar Cretu
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mili Poljicak's performance.

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cezar Cretu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cezar Cretu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mili Poljicak - Cezar Cretu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mili Poljicak will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 406. Cretu is ranked ATP: 426.

Recent performances by Poljicak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cretu is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cretu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Cretu will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poljicak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL
- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Cezar Cretu - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Cezar Cretu - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Cezar Cretu - Matei Varbanciu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.25	Radu David Turcanu - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Cezar Cretu - Mili Poljicak	2:0

Mili Poljicak - Cezar Cretu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide