Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Tiago Pereira		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.82	1.45
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.85)	1.53 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
38%

Rafael Jodar
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tiago Pereira - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Jodar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 1 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Pereira (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Jodar (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 2 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 351. Jodar is ranked ATP: 677.

In recent matches, Pereira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Andres Santamarta Roig	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Rudolf Molleker - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Andres Andrade - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Rafael Jodar - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Rafael Jodar - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

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