Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tiago Torres		Andrej Martin

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.71	2.16
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.71	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	2.18 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Torres
56.7%

Andrej Martin
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiago Torres's performance.

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrej Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Torres than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tiago Torres - Andrej Martin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Torres will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Martin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Torres is ranked ATP: 377., and Martin is ranked ATP: 358..

Recent results have been tough for Torres (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Martin have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Torres could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrej Martin - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Torres
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Jerome Kym - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Tiago Cacao - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Jack Anthrop - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Andrej Martin - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Andrej Martin - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Andrej Martin - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Joao Domingues - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW

Tiago Torres - Andrej Martin