Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Tibo Colson		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.1	1.79
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.84)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tibo Colson
40.4%

Miguel Tobon
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tibo Colson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tibo Colson's form might have worsened.

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tibo Colson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tibo Colson - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Colson is ranked ATP: 500. Tobon is ranked ATP: 469.

Colson is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tobon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Colson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tibo Colson
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Alafia Ayeni - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Tibo Colson - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Tibo Colson - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tibo Colson - Alan Sau Franco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Andrew Fenty - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Rafael De Alba - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW

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