Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Miguel Tobon		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.45	Watch
	1.29	3.68
	1.27	3.42	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.26	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	3.49 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
73.2%

Karl Poling
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miguel Tobon's performance.

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Tobon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tobon will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 563. Poling is ranked ATP: 570.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tobon is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Patricio Alvarado	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Tyler Zink - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Guillermo Tunas - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Karl Poling - Takeru Yuzuki	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Karl Poling - Pranav Kumar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.03.26	Jesse Flores - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLWL

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