Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.3	Watch
	1.31	3.67
	1.29	3.25	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
72.8%

Miguel Tobon
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 544. Tobon is ranked ATP: 503.

Now, both players are in good form.

Moreno De Alboran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moreno De Alboran is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Franco Ribero - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Patricio Alvarado	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW

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