Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Andrew Fenty		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.23)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Fenty
36%

Miguel Tobon
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Fenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrew Fenty, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrew Fenty - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fenty is ranked ATP: 389. Tobon is ranked ATP: 503.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tobon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tobon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Fenty
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Andrew Fenty - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Andrew Fenty - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Michael Antonius - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Olaf Pieczkowski - Andrew Fenty	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Dominique Rolland - Andrew Fenty	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Rafael De Alba - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Patricio Alvarado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW

Andrew Fenty - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide