Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Tina Nadine Smith		Polona Hercog

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	1.69	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.62)	1.83 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tina Nadine Smith
48.5%

Polona Hercog
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tina Nadine Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tina Nadine Smith's form might have worsened.

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polona Hercog's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tina Nadine Smith - Polona Hercog Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hercog will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 50%). Hercog (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Hercog (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 40%). Hercog (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked WTA: 288. Hercog is ranked WTA: 911.

Smith is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tina Nadine Smith
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Eva Vedder	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Amina Anshba	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Tina Nadine Smith - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Julia Riera - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Polona Hercog - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.25	Polina Iatcenko - Polona Hercog	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Polona Hercog - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Lina Glushko - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW

Tina Nadine Smith - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide