Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Titouan Droguet		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.41	2.63
	1.44	2.65
	1.46	2.65
	1.44	2.86
	1.38	2.93	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.48	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	2.72 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
65.6%

Alibek Kachmazov
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Titouan Droguet's form might have worsened.

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Titouan Droguet - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Droguet will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Droguet: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kachmazov (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 161. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 181.

Droguet is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kachmazov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kachmazov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Droguet could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Niels McDonald - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Alexander Blockx	Kachmazov A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LWLL

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