Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Nishesh Basavareddy		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.3	3.56
	1.21	4.08	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.5)	3.5 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nishesh Basavareddy
73.2%

Alibek Kachmazov
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nishesh Basavareddy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nishesh Basavareddy's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nishesh Basavareddy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nishesh Basavareddy - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 110. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 179.

In recent matches, Basavareddy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kachmazov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basavareddy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Adam Walton - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Jan Choinski - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

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