Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Gentofte, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Toby Samuel		Michiel De Krom

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
			Watch
	1.67	2.16
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
53.2%

Michiel De Krom
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 890. De Krom is ranked ATP: 546.

Samuel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

De Krom's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

De Krom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Michiel De Krom - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Toby Samuel - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Toby Samuel	Samuel T. retired ✺
12.06.25	Toby Samuel - Jack Anthrop	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Keshav Chopra - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?WW
- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Romain Faucon - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Giovanni Fonio - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Michiel De Krom - Romain Faucon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

Toby Samuel - Michiel De Krom: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide