Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Gentofte, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Petr Nesterov		Toby Samuel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
53.3%

Toby Samuel
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petr Nesterov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Samuel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 451. Samuel is ranked ATP: 890.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Dominik Recek	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Toby Samuel
ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Toby Samuel	Samuel T. retired ✺
12.06.25	Toby Samuel - Jack Anthrop	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Keshav Chopra - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.05.25	Toby Samuel - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	Stuart Parker - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?WWLW

Petr Nesterov - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide