Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Kilian Feldbausch		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.27	Watch
	3.38	1.33
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	3.21	1.32	Watch
	2.31	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.31)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilian Feldbausch
31.4%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilian Feldbausch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kilian Feldbausch's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Kilian Feldbausch - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Feldbausch (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Feldbausch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Feldbausch is ranked ATP: 398. Tirante is ranked ATP: 115.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Feldbausch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tirante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.31%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Augusto Virgili	Canceled
26.08.25	Raul Brancaccio - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Zsombor Piros - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Jack Kennedy - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

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