Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	1.47	2.52	Watch
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
49.4%

Calvin Hemery
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Timofey Skatov - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Calvin Hemery will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Calvin Hemery will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 195. Hemery is ranked ATP: 294.

Recent form of Skatov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hemery has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Skatov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.84%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Arthur Bouquier - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Marat Sharipov - Timofey Skatov	Sharipov M. retired ✺
15.01.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Florent Bax - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LL?LW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Cyril Vandermeersch - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Calvin Hemery - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

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