Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.38
	1.80	1.96	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)	2.23 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
57.9%

Jesper De Jong
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martin Etcheverry's performance.

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jesper De Jong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Martin Etcheverry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jesper De Jong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 5 - 55.6%). De Jong (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 60. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Etcheverry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
12.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2
ATP Challenger
06.11.21	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0
28.10.21	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2

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