Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.6	1.28	Watch
	3.69	1.32
	3.31	1.31	Watch
	3.66	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.31)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
26.5%

Lorenzo Musetti
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Musetti (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 60. Musetti is ranked ATP: 8.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Etcheverry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Mark Lajal - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	David Goffin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWW?
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
17.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2

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