Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Tomasz Berkieta		Matias Soto

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.17	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.69
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	2.17	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tomasz Berkieta
45.1%

Matias Soto
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomasz Berkieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tomasz Berkieta - Matias Soto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Berkieta is ranked ATP: 650. Soto is ranked ATP: 250.

Berkieta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Soto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Soto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matias Soto - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomasz Berkieta
ITF Tournaments
03.08.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Tomasz Berkieta	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Gilberto Ravasio	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Massimo Pizzigoni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
22.07.25	Matias Soto - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Johannus Monday - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Matias Soto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 L?LLW

Tomasz Berkieta - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide