Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday


	Tommy Paul		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.36	3.10
	1.38	3.00	Watch
	1.40	3.25
	1.38	3.13	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.41	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	3.06 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
68.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 28. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 22.

Paul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Davidovich Fokina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paul is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 72.11%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP London
18.06.26	Tommy Paul - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Tommy Paul - Jaume Munar	Canceled ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Tommy Paul - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
27.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W??LW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP London
18.06.26	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Cameron Norrie - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Damir Dzumhur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired
18.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	0:3
ATP US Open
01.09.23	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1
ATP Miami
26.03.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	2:3

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