Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Jenson Brooksby

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.41	2.90
	1.4	2.82	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.42	2.96	Watch
	1.40	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	2.92 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67.5%

Jenson Brooksby
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenson Brooksby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26., and Brooksby is ranked ATP: 102..

Davidovich Fokina has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Brooksby has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Davidovich Fokina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Davidovich Fokina is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Davidovich Fokina has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.09%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Jaume Munar - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
22.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2
ATP Antwerp
22.10.21	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide