Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Jenson Brooksby

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.42	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.41	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	2.94 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67.6%

Jenson Brooksby
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenson Brooksby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brooksby will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26., and Brooksby is ranked ATP: 102..

Davidovich Fokina has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Brooksby have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Brooksby may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Davidovich Fokina is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Davidovich Fokina has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.09%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Jaume Munar - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
22.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2
ATP Antwerp
22.10.21	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby