Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Tommy Paul		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.56	2.39
	1.58	2.55
	1.57	2.48	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.77)	2.44 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
60.8%

Ugo Humbert
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	0%	11.5%

Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ugo Humbert will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 28. Humbert is ranked ATP: 33.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Humbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paul could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP London
19.06.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Tommy Paul - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Tommy Paul - Jaume Munar	Canceled ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Tommy Paul - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WW??L
- Ugo Humbert
ATP London
19.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP Challenger
12.11.18	Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert	2:1

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