Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Ugo Humbert		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.62	2.30
	1.69	2.37
	1.81	1.95	Watch
	1.62	2.30
	1.69	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	2.2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
56.6%

Marin Cilic
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Ugo Humbert - Marin Cilic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cilic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 33. Cilic is ranked ATP: 47.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Humbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Quentin Halys	0:3 ✺
25.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.26	Daniil Medvedev - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Nuno Borges - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Marin Cilic - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Marin Cilic - Moise Kouame	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Marin Cilic - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
05.11.20	Marin Cilic - Ugo Humbert	1:2

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