Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Arthur Gea		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.80	1.98
	1.75	2.08
	1.8	2.01	Watch
	1.83	2.01
	1.71	2.17	Watch
	1.81	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.14)	2.04 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
53.4%

Ugo Humbert
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Arthur Gea - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 56., and Humbert is ranked ATP: 32..

Gea has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Humbert could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gea has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.73%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Arthur Gea - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Tomas Machac - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Arthur Gea - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Ugo Humbert - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Ugo Humbert - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Ugo Humbert - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
30.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL

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