Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas (Brazil), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campinas (Brazil) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tristan Boyer		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.85	1.45
	2.74	1.48
			Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.49)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Boyer
35.5%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
64.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Tristan Boyer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boyer is ranked ATP: 214. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 104.

Boyer is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ugo Carabelli in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ugo Carabelli to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boyer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
18.10.24	Tristan Boyer - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Tristan Boyer - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Tristan Boyer - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
18.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tristan Boyer	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	✺

Tristan Boyer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli