Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	James Duckworth		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.45
	1.58	2.32	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	2.33 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
59.5%

Miguel Damas
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Duckworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

James Duckworth - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): James Duckworth will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 81. Damas is ranked ATP: 260.

Duckworth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Damas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Duckworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Duckworth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Duckworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.94%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	James Duckworth - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
13.04.26	James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	James Duckworth - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	James Duckworth - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WWWW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Miguel Damas - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL

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