Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Miguel Damas		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.36
	3.27	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.44	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.54)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
28.3%

Jaime Faria
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaime Faria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaime Faria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Faria will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 271. Faria is ranked ATP: 136.

Damas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Faria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Faria is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Faria will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Miguel Damas - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Miguel Damas - Piet Luis Pinter	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Miguel Damas - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Martin Krumich - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Jaime Faria - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Jaime Faria - Lloyd Harris	Harris L. Retired ✺
20.04.26	Quentin Halys - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.04.23	Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria	2:0

Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide